“Generational War”: Is Putin Afraid of the Transition of Power?

Vladimir Putin will be 70 in October and, like most of the politicians around him, belongs to the last generation that was still the Soviet Union, namely under Brezhnev, which has gone down in history as a “stasis”. But it is completely wrong to assume that Putin wants to revive the Soviet Union, wrote Russian journalist and expert Maxim Trudolyubov in an analysis of the Internet portal “Medusa”, criticizing the Kremlin: “You are not busy restoring the USSR or rebuilding the empire, although they certainly have instincts An empire. They don’t even want a war with the West, although they don’t like the West. Instead, they try to prevent people who are foreign to them from gaining power and wealth.”

There are a lot of these people – certainly more than just one age group: not just Generation X [Jahrgänge 1965 bis 1980]but also the vast majority of “Millennials” [Jahrgänge 1980 bis 2000]The sons of the current rulers constituted only a small part of it.

Trudolyubov notes that almost everyone in the Ukrainian leadership is in their forties, a generation younger than Putin and his core team: “The Ukrainian government, the president’s office, the army, and other state structures are in control today and they are, if they remember the USSR at all, He linked it to school and the early years of university. They completed their higher education and took the first steps in their careers in post-Soviet Ukraine. Most of them innovated something in life, built something – and won elections.”

“Fear of the transfer of power is the root of war”

There is no mechanism in Russia for the peaceful transfer of power. All conceivable public competitive processes have been constantly “destroyed” during Putin’s rule: “By constantly raising the stakes and making their rule ever more extreme, Putin’s colleagues in his inner circle retain control over access to politics and business. Fear of transition of power is The basis of Putin’s war.”

A “real tragedy” could not be stopped: “There was an opportunity to avoid another 1991, another reset of experience and skills. In other words, even the authorities would like to avoid this, but they have already done everything to avoid it to make the transfer of power and property impossible without a deep crisis.”

‘We must not come to power’

Sociologist Mikhail Anipkin was quoted as saying that Putin and his contemporaries did not trust the “perestroika” generation born in 1970 at least: “Our generation has been waiting for the time to finally come. Now we are amazed to discover that we are simply not allowed to reach power. General, the older generation of us occupy all the seats there for ten to fifteen years. In addition, they prepare the succession through their children, that is, they cut off the social elevator completely.”

A look at possible successors to Putin being discussed in Russia shows that forty-year-olds are not a problem yet: according to current media reports, the first candidate will be 70-year-old Nikolai Platonovich Patrushev. Secretary of the Russian Security Council, which has become very popular lately. However, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin (56) and former President Dmitry Medvedev (56) should also have a chance.

Putin Hamlet

What Maxim Trudolyubov sees as a “tragedy” seems to Igor Karaulov in the pro-Kremlin “VNNews” portal, an outright heroic feat. He celebrates Putin for taming oligarchy over the years, marginalizing economic liberals, and securing himself de facto authoritarian rule: “Like Hamlet, Putin has proven to be a man of iron will; he has let himself be tempted by the billions he was supposed to spend on his timely resignation …Putin is Hamlet who survived. The deed was done, and he proved himself wiser than them, and he proved his intellectual superiority.” The fact that Hamlet does not have a happy ending in Shakespeare’s drama seems to have been kept hidden from Carolo.

In his early years in power, Putin was “hands and feet tied”. He did not gradually escape the “paternalism” of the neo-rich in the 1990s. This refers to the promoters of turbo-capitalism from the Yeltsin era, when the oligarchs made their billions, but also to all the “liberals” who orient themselves towards the West.

Bestselling Author Akunin: There is no collective guilt

However, the “Putin generation” cannot be held responsible for the attack on Ukraine as a whole, nor can the Russians as a whole be held responsible, as crime writer Boris Akunin believes, who is very popular in Russia. He opposes any collective guilt, as Thomas Mann once promoted to Germans, writing in an article for the Moscow Times: “Let everyone be held accountable for what they did personally – and what you ‘did not’ do when you should. Even the crime committed by a group Or a gang or an army, it’s no different. There should be personal responsibility on the part of everyone.”

Akunin speaks respectfully to those who have left Russia and more admired those who protest the war in the country itself: “Those who actively support this war and dictatorship are of course criminals and will transform themselves must be held accountable before the court for their actions. Also guilty are those who somehow serve war and dictatorship, Even reluctantly. They deserve contempt and condemnation.”

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