‘It will take a long time’: this is how Russia wants to win the war of nerves

Russian news agency RIA Novosti is always good for military texts. A few days ago, author Timofej Sergeytsi called for at least the “annihilation” of Ukraine and did not hesitate to call for the mass murder of the “unreachable”. Now Russia apparently expects the war to take much longer than anticipated and pins its hopes on the “psychology” of a military conflict: “Everyone already understands that the military operation will take a long time,” says Ottor Peter Akopov in his RIA opinion piece. RIA Novosti: “And it is very important to understand that completing one or more stages does not mean moving away from the final goals.”

Russia counts on “a strong change in mood, almost panic”

The goal, therefore, is to continue securing a land bridge for Russia between the Romanian borders through Crimea and the Donbass and to disrupt Ukraine politically. Once the “southern” of Ukraine is occupied, as soon as all the ports are under the authority of the Russian forces, the rest of the country will abandon itself: “No amount of Western assistance – financial or military – will be able to do this to relieve Kyiv’s shock from the loss of the southern regions Not only a political and economic shock, but also an emotional shock – a sharp change of mood in the rest of the Ukrainian lands. So far, the majority there believes that Ukraine will not only survive, but also regain the lands lost since February 24, but when it becomes clear that there is no Chance that everything will get worse, there will be a sharp change in mood, almost panic.”

You’re only supposed to change ‘tactics’

The reason for these strange theses is the extremely contradictory information policy of the Kremlin, which constantly oscillates between aggressive propaganda and ambiguous offers of negotiations, and, above all, has to explain frequent military setbacks. The fact that President Putin himself stopped the storming of a steel plant in Mariupol caused great confusion among the fanatics. The sinking of the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet also strongly affected the mood.

Anything else is an unfinished business.

said Peter Akopov, citing at length Major-General Rustam Minkayev, commander of the forces of the Central Military District (TsVO), who spoke to armament contractors in the Urals. He had declared “full control of the Donbass River and southern Ukraine” as an objective of the war and “providing a land passage to Crimea and influencing the vital objects of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, namely the Black Sea ports, through which agriculture and mining are carried out. Products delivered to other countries are mentioned. As concrete stages.

The Russian media, which is close to the Kremlin, now adheres to the principle that what should not happen cannot happen: “We do not have the slightest chance of rejecting goals,” said Akupov: “Everything else means unfinished work, which until then remains, But under much worse conditions, during a direct military confrontation with the West We do not need a passage to Crimea (not even to Transnistria) – we need to restore the unity of the Russian world, reunite with Novorossiya and return Ukraine to its little Russian core, to its course historical, to its unification with Russia”. The fact that not all of these Kremlin dreams will come true “immediately” is now part of the sympathy vocabulary of a seriously insecure and increasingly lethargic public.

This is how Pravda defines oppression

Sometimes Putin’s fans involuntarily slip into sarcasm. For example, Pravda writes that if there is a “second stage” of the offensive, as Putin and his generals have now declared, then logically there must be a “third stage”. Their goal can only be to end the “oppression of the Russian-speaking population” in southern Ukraine and in Transnistria. According to Pravda, the standard for this is the ban on the black and orange “Z” advertising banner and the “St. George’s Ribbon”.

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